Many government contractors still rely on fragmented systems and static spreadsheets to project what’s ahead. That approach may work for tracking awarded contracts, but it fails to support confident ...

Adaptive forecasting is a term used to describe several different methods of determining the likelihood of events occurring based on statistical data and variable analysis. These forecasting methods ...

Americans have long been familiar with “horse race” polls that accompany elections in the United States. But since 2008, a new polling tool has gained prominence, one that not only suggests which ...

Throughout my career as a sales professional and sales leader, I’ve been asked to assess the closing probability of the deals in my pipeline. These probabilities are used to try to create accurate ...

The probability in weather forecasts leaves many people perplexed on if, or when, they should continue with plans, cancel or delay. As summer ramps up across North America, millions of travelers, ...

David F Hendry receives funding from the Open Society Foundations and the Oxford Martin School. Grayham Mizon has received funding from Economic and Social Research Council. Unpredictability is ...

Scientists have created a novel probabilistic model for 5-minutes ahead PV power forecasting. The method combines a convolutional neural network with bidirectional long short-term memory, attention ...

Future events are far from certain in the business world. This is especially true for smaller businesses, which tend to have more volatility than larger organizations, or newer businesses without a ...

“Statistical prediction is only valid in sterile laboratory conditions, which suddenly isn't as useful as it seemed before” — Gary King, political scientist and quantitative methodologist Imagine you ...