Recession fears have cooled, but a labor market chart flagged by one bearish strategist might give bullish investors pause.

In the past three months, economists have changed their outlook for the U.S. to slower growth, higher inflation and greater risk of recession. The changed consensus in The Wall Street Journal’s ...

President Trump's wide-ranging tariffs have sent the stock market tumbling and recession fears soaring. As the dust settles and markets wait for more information on the result of the administration's ...

Most economists expect the U.S. economy to avoid a recession and grow moderately in 2026, though inflation could remain above ...

Diccon Hyatt is an experienced financial and economics reporter. He's written hundreds of articles breaking down complex financial topics in plain language, emphasizing the impact that economic ...

Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. Leadership professor, job market journalist-analyst, business advisor. Officially, an economic downturn is not a recession until ...

The economy contracted in the first quarter for the first time in three years, but it doesn't mean the economy is rushing toward a recession. At least not yet. Gross domestic product, the official ...

Traders on the prediction market platform Kalshi now place the odds of a U.S. recession this year at 21%, up slightly from 19% earlier Tuesday. That figure is still near the lowest level of the year, ...

Even with inflation easing, the tariff war paused and the labor force at full employment, the U.S. gross domestic product is expected to grow by only 1.6% for 2025 – more than 1 percentage point below ...

President Donald Trump has rarely passed up the opportunity to tell Americans that the U.S. economy, with his hand at the wheel, is roaring. His administration has held up GDP growth rates, high ...

A robust GDP print, profit growth, and 2026 policy tailwinds show why the U.S. economy may stay resilient despite ...